The matter of a possible recession is increasing, weighing on everyone’s mind with uncertainty on President Trump’s tariff.
Concerns about the impact of American businesses, consumers, retirement accounts and economy on the economy have weighed heavy weighing over the stock markets which is the decline and unstable of the jaw in a few days.
Even the bond market is not immune, prices increase tambaling and yield, which is out of character when the possibility of recession increases. Usually fixed income is a place to hide investors.
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This does not help the White House sending mixed messages. Trump vowed to maintain his tariff on almost every country in the world, late Wednesday night he reduced the tariff by 10% for ninety days on all countries except China, which now faces tariff of 125% (above 104%). That stock has been sent growing but uncertainty is high.
Wall Street and Economists think about the possibilities of a recession
A recession is not an foregoing conclusion, but some wall street professionals and economists are rapidly recession.
What they are saying here in recent times. Keep in mind that things can change quickly during the 90-day recurrence, President Trump gave only the world (except China).
“Perhaps this (recession) is a possible result. Markets are not always right, but sometimes they are right and this time they are correct because they are pricing in uncertainty at real company level in real company level in uncertainty at the macro level and uncertainty at the micro level.” , JP Morgan President and CEO Jamie Dimon, During an interview “Morning with Maria” show on Fox Business.
“Most CEOs I talk that we are probably in a recession. A CEO specifically stated that the airline industry is a cosmic bird in the coal mine – canary in the coal mine – and I was told that the canary is already ill.” , Larry Fink, CEO of Blackrock, during a program Economic Club of New York.
“Combination of large tariffs, greater policy uncertainty, declining business and consumer confidence, and messages from administration that indicates more desire to tolerate the economic weakness of the near period in search of its policies, increases negative risk.” , Goldman analyst It is written in a research report, In the next 12 months, the possibility of US recession increased from 35% to 45%.
“US tariffs will work hard to China, but China’s vengeance will also cream to the American economy. At any other time, it will be interpretedly assured economic destruction such suicide game of economic chicken, but President Trump and Chinese have been dug. It is quickly more than Economics. It is about saving the face for effects.” , Mark Zandi, Chief Economist Moody’s Analytics.
“I am seeing consumer expenses and increase in jobs – especially in areas that are sensitive to change in interest rate, such as housing. If people start making big purchases, it is a red flag. So far, the labor market has organized well, but there may be another increase in inflation.” , Jadrian Wuton, an economist Virginia Tech.
“It’s not possible that we are going to the recession – and in terms of a recession, we will see that an additional two million people will be unemployed.” , Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, Bloomberg speaking Wall Street Week of Television.
“This (tariff) pushes the economy, we will say, at least close to the recession. If not, you are getting closer to the toss because there is a lot of indirect effects on the trust of business. What they spend less and least rent and we reduce the upper effect. We are worried.” During Morgan Stanley’s leading American economist Michael Gapen Tariff roundtable podcast,
“If the new tariffs live for many years, and are applied and inflation occur, and the doges continue and continue the fire, then we will be in a much worse position than in 2008.” , Mark Cuba, an American businessman and billionaire Post on blue,
“Our stock market is below. Bond yields are up and the dollar is falling. Bill Acman, CEO of Persing Square On X, The course on tariffs reversed for most countries before Trump.
“It was brilliantly executed by @Realdonaldtrum. Textbook, art of art.” , Ekman On X After Trump reversed the syllabus.
