The markets have entered a new phase likely to be defined by tariff dialogue between Trump administration and business partners worldwide.
On Tuesday, it is expected that President Donald Trump has a plan and knows how to execute it, it increased more large -scale moves for shares during another unstable session on Wall Street.
After opening on Monday with 60-Sambhal, CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)-also known as “Fear Gauge”-fell down until the mid-40s in early Tuesdays.
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The stocks first captured and held high land for 90 minutes, but the realities of new uncertainty fell down on the expectation, giving a boom.
And by the last hour of Trading Day, Vix was back by 56.32.
LPL Financial Chief Investment Officer writes, “It has already been reported that many countries have come forward with the desire to interact around the terms of the tariff.” Mark zabiki“Eurozone (in Agiget), citing Asia-Pacific and South America.”
Zabiki says that such a report is “a good sign” that Trump is a plan of administration. “The US set its tariff marker and forced the affected countries to come to the table,” Zabiki saw. “Call it conversation 101.”
Hope is for a result where “Tariff There are very few compared to the men mentioned last week, “the Trump administration, including concessions from countries targeted for its inappropriate trade practices.
The analyst concluded, “China has been the largest and significant hold ever,” although this was to be expected. ,
In 2024, the total value of the US trade in goods with China was around $ 582.4 billion, including $ 143.5 billion in exports and $ 438.9 billion in imports.
This resulted in a trade deficit of $ 295.4 billion – the largest deficit with any other business partner for America.
Our local partner in the south is Mexico, number 2 ($ 171.8 billion). Our perhaps in South East Asia, Vietnam is an unexpected partner number 3 ($ 123.5 billion). The US had a $ 63.3 billion goods trade deficit with Canada, with a total trade between North American neighbors $ 762.1 billion.
Closing on the bell, blue-chip Dow jones industrial average The 0.8% to 37,645 slipped. Comprehensive S&P 500 Index 1.6% fell to 4,982. And tech-hawi Nasdac Composite Tumble from 2.2% to 15,267.
Small firm optimism sink
National Federation of Independent Business Said that its optimism index increased from 100.7 to 97.4 in March. This is the highest decline of the most month since June 2022, which is the peak of the covid-inspired global supply crisis.
The expectation of consensus was a print of 98.9. The decline leaves the index below the long -term average of 98 for the first time since October 2024.
NFIB chief economist said, “The implementation of new policy priorities has increased the level of uncertainty among small trade owners in the last few months.” Bill Dankeburg“Small business owners have surpassed expectations on sales growth because they better understand how this resurrection can affect them.”
As NFIB said, “This year will be ruled with an uncertainty. The administration of President Trump is re -organizing deck chairs at a record speed.”
Wells Fargo Economist Charlie Dafri, Jackie Banson And Ali Hazibigi Note as driving forces behind the decline of March in the collective approach of small companies of March as “economic perceptions and expectations of sale deteriorate”.
They cite labor quality as a top reported problem of firms, as the deteriorating macroeconomic background made a trimmed into plans to hire. ,
And although Tariff did not affect prices in March, “The percentage of firms planned to increase prices in the next few months reached the highest stake in 12 months.”
Good news for health insurers
It was said by the federal government Medicare advantage Payments in 2026 will increase $ 25 billion.
CVS Health (CVS, +6.0%), Humana (We, +10.7%) and United health group (UNH, +5.6%), Health insurers who offer Medicare Advantage Plan For seniors, the news increased. The top intraday artist between UNH 30 was Dow jones stock,
According to the center of Medicare and Medicade Services, the increase, which crosses both industry and analysts, is responsible for high estimated costs in the program.
The United Health is scheduled to report the first quarter earnings before the opening bell on Thursday, 17 April. UNH Stock is an anchor for many Best Health Care ETF,
Bad news for alone
For a long time Tesla (TSLA, -4.9%) Bull Dan Evece Vesabash Securities has cut its price target for shares of electric vehicle manufacturer.
The IVES now looks at Tsla Stock at 315 $ 12 months below $ 550, the most target among Wall Street analysts. Colorful Ewes maintained its outperform rating on the organization of Elon Musk, so it is still a “purchase” for her.
Ewes writes, “The economic tariff issued by the Trump administration is a double vaimi for Armagadon Tesla.” While Tesla is exposed to tariffs compared to domestic vehicle manufacturers General Motors (GM, -2.4%), Ford Motor (F, -5.9%) and Descendant (Stla, -7.9%) -with foreign producers, it still sources parts from outside the US including China.
“A clear cost effect” will eventually be passed to consumers with some demand destruction if these tariffs catch in their current form, “Ives found.
There is a big concern for the eves.
“Tesla has essentially become a political symbol globally,” says, “and this is a very bad thing for the future of this disruptive technical stallwart.” IVES estimates that Tesla has lost or destroyed at least 10% of his future customer base.
The analyst said, “We have been one of the biggest supporters of Musk and Tesla in the last decade,” but this situation is not sustainable. ,
